CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 20, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Canada3 - 0Suriname
Form, Standings, Stats
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Suriname 0-1 Canada
Friday, November 15 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, November 15 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Chile | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Peru | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Canada 2-0 Suriname (Canada advance 3-0 on aggregate)
Suriname may be able to compete with the elite teams in CONCACAF, but they have yet to show that they can put one of those sides under duress, which is why we expect Canada to win comfortably. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Canada had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Suriname |
29.01% ( -0.61) | 24.76% ( -0.02) | 46.23% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
