Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberystwyth Town would win this match.
