World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 26, 2025 at 12am UK

Estadio Monumental de Maturin

Venezuela
1 - 0
Peru

Rondon (41' pen., 41' pen., 41' pen.)
Gonzalez (45'), Gonzalez (45'), Gonzalez (45'), Martinez (47'), Martinez (47'), Martinez (47'), Herrera (77'), Herrera (77'), Herrera (77')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Zambrano (13'), Zambrano (13'), Zambrano (13'), Aquino (19'), Aquino (19'), Aquino (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Venezuela and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Venezuela
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	13	15	28
2	Ecuador	13	8	25
3	Brazil	13	7	21
4	Uruguay	13	7	20
5	Paraguay	13	2	20
6	Colombia	13	4	19
7	Bolivia	13	-16	13
8	Venezuela	13	-5	12
9	Peru	13	-10	10
10	Chile	13	-12	9

Peru

All competitions

Last Game: Peru 3-1 Bolivia
Friday, March 21 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	13	15	28
2	Ecuador	13	8	25
3	Brazil	13	7	21
4	Uruguay	13	7	20
5	Paraguay	13	2	20
6	Colombia	13	4	19
7	Bolivia	13	-16	13
8	Venezuela	13	-5	12
9	Peru	13	-10	10
10	Chile	13	-12	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.19%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.

Result
Venezuela	Draw	Peru
60.11% ( -1.73)	25.15% ( 0.97)	14.74% ( 0.76)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Venezuela	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 17.5% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 13.68% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.83% Total : 60.11%	0-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.76) 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.31% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.74%