USA national football team
Friendlies 1 | 2nd Leg
Jun 7, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
Turkey national football team

USA
1 - 2
Turkey

McGlynn (1')
Harriel (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Guler (24'), Akturkoglu (27')
Akcicek (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between USA and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 2-1 USA
Sunday, March 23 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Hungary 0-3 Turkey
Sunday, March 23 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a USA win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Turkey has a probability of 23.98% and a draw has a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Turkey win is 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.16%).

Result
USADrawTurkey
52.39% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)23.63% (0.347 0.35)23.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.09% (-1.176 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (-1.549 -1.55)45.88% (1.542 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (-1.484 -1.48)68.19% (1.479 1.48)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.693 -0.69)17.5% (0.685 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (-1.214 -1.21)48% (1.207 1.21)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (-0.86499999999999 -0.86)33.23% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (-0.964 -0.96)69.84% (0.956 0.96)
Score Analysis
    USA 52.38%
    Turkey 23.98%
    Draw 23.63%
USADrawTurkey
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.427 0.43)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.182 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 52.38%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.373 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.41% (0.268 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 23.98%