Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
