Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
