Tajikistan national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 20, 2025 at 11am UK
Republican Central Stadium
Belarus national football team

Tajikistan
0 - 5
Belarus

FT(HT: 0-0)
Lisakovich (64'), Melnichenka (73'), Yablonski (85'), Sedko (87'), Barkovskiy (90+2')
Pigas (21'), (75'), Shumanskiy (75')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between Tajikistan and Belarus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tajikistan

All competitions
Last Game: Tajikistan 3-1 Afghanistan
Tuesday, November 19 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Belarus

All competitions
Last Game: Bulgaria 1-1 Belarus
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
TajikistanDrawBelarus
61.42% (1.352 1.35)23.68% (-0.365 -0.37)14.9% (-0.99 -0.99)
Both teams to score 40.52% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.34% (-0.245 -0.24)57.65% (0.241 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58% (-0.195 -0.2)78.42% (0.191 0.19)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (0.407 0.41)18.53% (-0.411 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (0.684 0.68)49.77% (-0.689 -0.69)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.74% (-1.547 -1.55)50.25% (1.541 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.16% (-1.086 -1.09)84.83% (1.082 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Tajikistan 61.41%
    Belarus 14.9%
    Draw 23.68%
TajikistanDrawBelarus
1-0 @ 15.69% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 13.23% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 7.44% (0.352 0.35)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.187 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 61.41%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 9.31% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 14.9%