Tajikistan national football team
Friendlies 3
Nov 19, 2024 at 1pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Afghanistan national football team

Tajikistan
3 - 1
Afghanistan

Juraboev (11'), Samiev (27'), Soirov (70')
Samiev (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Asekzai (37')
Zamani (40'), Musawi (41'), Asekzai (62'), Nazary (76')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Tajikistan and Afghanistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tajikistan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Tajikistan 4-0 Nepal
Wednesday, November 13 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Afghanistan

Last Game: Nepal 2-0 Afghanistan
Saturday, November 16 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 12.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.

Result
TajikistanDrawAfghanistan
66.95% (-0.244 -0.24)20.32% (0.152 0.15)12.73% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 44.4% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (-0.417 -0.42)49.26% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-0.377 -0.38)71.31% (0.377 0.38)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (-0.203 -0.2)13.8% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.86% (-0.405 -0.41)41.13% (0.405 0.41)
Afghanistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.52% (-0.11 -0.11)48.48% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.42% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)83.58% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Tajikistan 66.95%
    Afghanistan 12.73%
    Draw 20.32%
TajikistanDrawAfghanistan
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 13.12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.66% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 66.95%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 20.32%
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.47% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.75% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 12.73%

Head to Head
Jun 7, 2019 3pm
International Friendlies
Tajikistan
1-1
Afghanistan
Shahrom (88')
Haydary (72')
Shayesteh (78')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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