Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Frosinone in this match.
