Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 48.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.