Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
