Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Torino |
| 33.35% ( | 27.08% ( | 39.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.05% ( | 54.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% ( | 76.23% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% | 30.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% | 67.21% |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( | 27.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( | 62.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.78% ( 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.35% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.58% |