Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.38%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-0 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
