Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
