Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 4, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
1 - 0
Racing

Luna (45')
Moreno San Vidal (21'), Nacho (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garcia (30'), Martin (69')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Racing de Santander.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Albacete 3-1 Cartagena
Saturday, April 26 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Racing de Santander

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Deportivo
Sunday, April 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
CartagenaDrawRacing de Santander
26.84% (0.656 0.66)25.27% (0.357 0.36)47.89% (-1.007 -1.01)
Both teams to score 52.63% (-0.557 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-0.997 -1)50.45% (1.001 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.889 -0.89)72.38% (0.89399999999999 0.89)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.31% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Racing de Santander Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (-0.83 -0.83)21.09% (0.835 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (-1.311 -1.31)53.91% (1.317 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 26.84%
    Racing de Santander 47.88%
    Draw 25.26%
CartagenaDrawRacing de Santander
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.306 0.31)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.24% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 26.84%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.51% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.89% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 47.88%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Racing
1-2
Cartagena
Martin (74')
Munoz (45' pen.), Izquierdo (58')
Valles (72'), Alcala (81'), Musto (83'), Guerrero (90+4')
Jan 21, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 23
Racing
0-2
Cartagena

Alberto (2'), Fernandez (41'), Fernandez (42'), Garcia (89')
Morante (75'), Martin (88')
Ortuno (6'), Kiko (90+6')
Alarcon (1'), Andy (59'), Fontan (76')
Oct 14, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Cartagena
2-3
Racing
Munoz (8'), Ortuno (45')
Alcala (37'), Alarcon (51')
Martin (28'), Fernandez (39' pen., 62')
Sainz-Maza (21'), Garcia (50'), Aldasoro (65'), Fernandez (74')
May 28, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 42
Racing
3-1
Cartagena
Garcia (4'), Cabanzon (20'), Omoigui (27')
Elitim (72')
Vazquez (48')
Rico (49'), Sangalli (56'), Poveda (67'), Miguelon (88')
Dec 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Cartagena
0-3
Racing
Vicente (16'), Mboula (37'), Aldasoro (68')