Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.