Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.