Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.