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Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK at Etihad Stadium
Man City
5 - 1
Watford
Jesus (4', 23', 49' pen., 53'), Rodri (34')
Cancelo (43')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kamara (28')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Watford.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up in Saturday's Premier League clash with Watford.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Watford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Manchester City 2-0 Watford

Watford are certainly capable of making it an uncomfortable 90 minutes for Man City, with the Hornets boasting a lot of talent in the final third of the field. Man City cannot afford to drop points, though, and we are fully expecting the Citizens to secure all three points in relatively routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 87.21%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 3.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 4-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.14%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawWatford
87.21%8.82%3.97%
Both teams to score 44.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.72%25.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.69%45.31%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.23%3.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.87%16.13%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.46%53.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.01%86.99%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 87.2%
    Watford 3.97%
    Draw 8.82%
Manchester CityDrawWatford
3-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 10.85%
4-0 @ 9.74%
3-1 @ 7.42%
2-1 @ 6.78%
1-0 @ 6.62%
5-0 @ 6.39%
4-1 @ 6.08%
5-1 @ 3.99%
6-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.32%
6-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.9%
7-0 @ 1.64%
5-2 @ 1.25%
7-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 87.2%
1-1 @ 4.14%
2-2 @ 2.12%
0-0 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 8.82%
1-2 @ 1.29%
0-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 3.97%

How you voted: Man City vs Watford

Manchester City
82.8%
Draw
6.4%
Watford
10.8%
203
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Watford
1-3
Man City
Camilo Hernandez (74')
King (7'), Rose (31'), Cathcart (85')
Sterling (4'), Silva (31', 63')
Jul 21, 2020 6pm
Watford
0-4
Man City

Mariappa (80'), Hughes (90+1')
Sterling (31', 40'), Foden (63'), Laporte (66')

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