Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.56%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Watford had a probability of 9.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 0-3 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.