Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.79%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Watford |
| 43.79% | 28.4% | 27.81% |
| Both teams to score 44.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.56% | 61.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.68% | 81.32% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% | 27.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.47% | 63.53% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.52% | 38.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.77% | 75.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% 2-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 8.35% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.7% Total : 43.78% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.58% Total : 27.8% |
