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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest | 
| 59.49% (  -0.08) | 20.76% (  0.12) | 19.75% (  -0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 58.88% (  -0.52) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.95% (  -0.65) | 38.05% (  0.65) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 39.68% (  -0.7) | 60.32% (  0.69) | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.5% (  -0.23) | 12.5% (  0.22) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.51% (  -0.47) | 38.49% (  0.47) | 
| Nottingham Forest Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.29% (  -0.42) | 32.71% (  0.42) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.73% (  -0.47) | 69.27% (  0.47) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest | 
| 2-1 @ 9.88% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 8.84% (  0.12) 1-0 @ 8.5% (  0.19) 3-1 @ 6.85% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.13% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 3.83% (  -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.56% (  -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.19% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% (  -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.48% (  -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.33% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.92% Total : 59.49% | 1-1 @ 9.5% (  0.1) 2-2 @ 5.52% (  -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.09% (  0.13) 3-3 @ 1.43% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 5.31% (  -0) 0-1 @ 4.57% (  0.09) 0-2 @ 2.55% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.98% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.95% (  -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 19.75% | 
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| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
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