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EFL Cup

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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Wolves logo

Brighton
3 - 2
Wolves

Balepa (14'), Adingra (31'), Kadioglu (85')
Estupinan (36'), Hinshelwood (47'), Ferguson (62'), Moder (68'), Webster (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guedes (44'), Doyle (90+1')
Sarabia (45+1'), Doyle (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Ipswich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
68.98% (0.568 0.57)16.95% (-0.152 -0.15)14.06% (-0.413 -0.41)
Both teams to score 60.41% (-0.588 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.64% (-0.22 -0.22)30.36% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.37% (-0.265 -0.27)51.62% (0.268 0.27)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.063999999999993 0.06)8% (-0.061100000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.8% (0.155 0.16)28.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (-0.68299999999999 -0.68)34.33% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-0.736 -0.74)71.04% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 68.98%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 14.06%
    Draw 16.95%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.158 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.107 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.98% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.66% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.52% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.35% (0.064 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.03 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 68.98%
1-1 @ 7.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.95%
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 14.06%

How you voted: Brighton vs Wolves

Brighton & Hove Albion
82.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
17.3%
139
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
Fifth Round
Wolves
1-0
Brighton
Lemina (2')
Sarabia (73'), Sa (82'), Neto (89')

Fati (17'), Julio (63')
> Match Report
Jan 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Brighton
0-0
Wolves
Webster (82')
Cunha (45+2'), Dawson (54'), Kilman (73'), Gomes (90+2')
> Match Report
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Wolves
1-4
Brighton
Hee-chan (61')
Dawson (17'), Hee-chan (63'), Nunes (76'), Kilman (88')
Nunes (90+5')
Mitoma (15'), Estupinan (46'), March (51', 55')
Gross (8'), Milner (18'), Enciso (19'), Estupinan (60'), Pedro (64'), Webster (90+5')
> Match Report
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
6-0
Wolves
Undav (6', 66'), Gross (13', 26'), Welbeck (39', 48')
> Match Report
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Wolves
2-3
Brighton
Guedes (12'), Neves (35' pen.)
Lallana (10'), Mitoma (44'), Gross (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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