World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 16, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio La Asuncion

Paraguay
2 - 1
Venezuela

Sanabria (59', 59', 74', 74')
Jose Caceres (35'), Jose Caceres (35'), Alderete (63'), Alderete (63')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Aramburu (25', 25')
Navarro (12'), Navarro (12'), Batista (33'), Batista (33'), Soteldo (38'), Soteldo (38'), Casseres Jr (45+3'), Casseres Jr (45+3'), Cadiz (68'), Cadiz (68'), Aramburu (70'), Aramburu (70'), Bello (87'), Bello (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Paraguay
Thursday, October 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	9	8	19
2	Colombia	9	3	16
3	Uruguay	9	7	15
4	Ecuador	9	2	15
5	Brazil	9	2	13
6	Bolivia	9	-4	12
7	Venezuela	9	-1	11
8	Paraguay	9	-1	10
9	Peru	9	-7	6
10	Chile	9	-9	5

Venezuela

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Argentina
Thursday, October 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	9	8	19
2	Colombia	9	3	16
3	Uruguay	9	7	15
4	Ecuador	9	2	15
5	Brazil	9	2	13
6	Bolivia	9	-4	12
7	Venezuela	9	-1	11
8	Paraguay	9	-1	10
9	Peru	9	-7	6
10	Chile	9	-9	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (11.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Venezuela
36.82% ( -0.14)	29.27% ( -0.09)	33.9% ( 0.22)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Paraguay	Draw	Venezuela
1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.82%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.26%	0-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 33.9%