
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 21.38% ( | 22.98% ( | 55.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( | 45.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.77% ( | 68.22% ( |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% ( | 35.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.6% ( | 72.4% ( |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( | 16.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.05% ( | 45.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 2-1 @ 5.62% ( 2-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-1 @ 1.93% ( 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 3-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.38% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0-2 @ 9.55% ( 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0-3 @ 5.77% ( 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0-4 @ 2.61% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0-5 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 55.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 40 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 97 | 55 | 42 | 92 |
| 2 | Barnet | 39 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 71 | 53 | 18 | 71 |
| 3 | Bromley | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 70 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 65 |
| 5 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 63 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 62 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 54 | 17 | 61 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 60 |
| 9 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 59 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 52 |
| 11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 49 |
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 48 |
| 14 | Woking | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 47 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
| 17 | Fylde | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 46 |
| 18 | Eastleigh | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 66 | 80 | -14 | 46 |
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 45 |
| 20 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 44 |
| 21 | York City | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 48 | 65 | -17 | 43 |
| 22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
| 23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 39 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 47 | 67 | -20 | 42 |
| 24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 40 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 50 | 85 | -35 | 29 |
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