Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.