Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
65.12% | 19.13% | 15.76% |
Both teams to score 56.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.62% | 37.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.4% | 59.6% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.22% | 10.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.22% | 34.78% |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% | 36.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.49% | 73.51% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 7.31% 3-0 @ 7.29% 4-1 @ 4.07% 4-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.81% 5-0 @ 1.81% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.68% Total : 65.12% | 1-1 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.93% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.13% | 1-2 @ 4.42% 0-1 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |