Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
