Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
