

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brest had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
| 61.33% ( | 20.98% ( | 17.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.63% ( | 42.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( | 64.78% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( | 13.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.82% ( | 40.18% ( |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% | 37.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.76% ( | 74.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
| 2-0 @ 10.13% 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 4-0 @ 3.43% ( 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 5-1 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 61.32% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.98% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% 1-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 17.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
