Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Nov 10, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
3 - 1
Brest

Nordin (6' pen.), Khazri (12'), Coulibaly (84')
Khazri (16'), Ferri (56'), Sagnan (62'), Toure (69'), Chennahi (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Martin (50')
Martin (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-2 Brest
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Brest
28.97% ( 0.88)	24.22% ( 0.26)	46.81% ( -1.14)

Both teams to score 57.65% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.42% (

-0.6)

44.58% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.06% (

-0.59)

66.95% (

0.59)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33% (

0.32)

28.67% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

0.39)

64.49% (

-0.39)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.83% (

-0.69)

19.18% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.15% (

-1.16)

50.85% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 28.97%

Brest 46.81%

Draw 24.22%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Brest
2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.97%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.81%