Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille4 - 0Clermont
We said: Lille 2-0 Clermont
Having put together a two-game unbeaten run, Clermont are taking confidence into their trip to Stade Pierre-Mauroy. However, we can only back the home side to come out on top, perhaps through a goal in each half. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 12.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Clermont |
67.99% ( 0.27) | 19.26% ( -0) | 12.74% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( -0.6) | 44.74% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( -0.58) | 67.1% ( 0.58) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( -0.1) | 12.13% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.28% ( -0.21) | 37.72% ( 0.21) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.37% ( -0.79) | 45.63% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.57% ( -0.63) | 81.43% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 67.98%
Clermont 12.74%
Draw 19.26%
| Lille | Draw | Clermont |
| 2-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.23% Total : 67.98% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.26% | 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.74% |
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Lille
0-0
Clermont
Dec 28, 2022 6pm
Mar 6, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 27
Lille
4-0
Clermont
Form Guide
