Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.