Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 73.1%. A draw has a probability of 16.6% and a win for Southampton has a probability of 10.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.35%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Southampton win it is 0-1 (3.34%).
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
| 73.1% ( | 16.65% ( | 10.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.5% ( | 39.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.15% ( | 61.84% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.6% ( | 9.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.39% ( | 31.6% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.37% ( | 46.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.8% ( | 82.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-0 @ 12.24% ( 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 3-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 3-1 @ 7.37% ( 4-0 @ 5.71% ( 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 5-0 @ 2.7% ( 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 6-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.74% Total : 73.08% | 1-1 @ 7.9% ( 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 2-2 @ 3.57% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.65% | 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 1-2 @ 3.02% ( 0-2 @ 1.28% ( 2-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 10.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 82 | 29 | 53 | 73 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 62 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 53 | 7 | 54 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 54 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 53 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 49 |
| 9 | Brentford | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | Fulham | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 45 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 37 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 36 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 34 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 30 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 30 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 29 |
| 19 | Everton | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 28 |
| 20 | Southampton | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 24 |
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