Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
