Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
