Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
