Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barrow | 
| 43.9% | 26.16% | 29.95% | 
| Both teams to score 51.92% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.67% | 52.33% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.97% | 74.03% | 
| Bolton Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.29% | 23.71% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.16% | 57.84% | 
| Barrow Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.06% | 31.94% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.61% | 68.39% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barrow | 
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.8% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.95% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 45 | 
| 2 | Stevenage | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 40 | 
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 38 | 
| 4 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 | 
| 5 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 
| 6 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 32 | 
| 7 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 31 | 
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 30 | 
| 9 | Salford City | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 28 | 
| 10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 28 | 
| 11 | Walsall | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 27 | 
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 | 
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 | 
| 14 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 | 
| 15 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 25 | 
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 24 | 
| 17 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 22 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 19 | 
| 19 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 16 | 
| 21 | Rochdale | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 15 | 
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 14 | 
| 23 | Gillingham | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 14 | 
| 24 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 12 | 
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