| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 28 | 85 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 46 | 26 | 84 |
| 6 | Wycombe Wanderers | 46 | 24 | 83 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | MK Dons | 46 | 34 | 89 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 28 | 85 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 46 | 26 | 84 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 46.49% | 25.39% | 28.12% |
| Both teams to score 53.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% | 50.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% | 72.1% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% | 21.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.35% | 54.65% |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% | 32.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.37% | 68.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Port Vale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 21 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
| 22 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
| 24 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 15 | -15 | 1 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
