

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Sunderland |
| 33.71% | 28.09% | 38.2% |
| Both teams to score 47.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.27% | 58.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.74% | 79.26% |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% | 32.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.85% | 69.14% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% | 29.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.18% | 65.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.7% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Port Vale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 21 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
| 22 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
| 24 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 15 | -15 | 1 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
