

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 35.5% (  0.44) | 26.9% (  0.19) | 37.6% (  -0.62) | 
| Both teams to score 51.22% (  -0.55) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.02% (  -0.72) | 53.97% (  0.72) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.58% (  -0.61) | 75.42% (  0.61) | 
| Almeria Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.94% (  -0.08) | 29.06% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.02% (  -0.1) | 64.97% (  0.1) | 
| Sevilla Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.19% (  -0.7) | 27.8% (  0.7) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.61% (  -0.9) | 63.39% (  0.9) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Almeria | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 1-0 @ 9.98% (  0.26) 2-1 @ 7.9% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 6.17% (  0.14) 3-1 @ 3.25% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 2.54% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 2.08% (  -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.01% (  -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 12.78% (  0.08) 0-0 @ 8.08% (  0.23) 2-2 @ 5.06% (  -0.08) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.34% (  0.09) 1-2 @ 8.18% (  -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.62% (  -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.49% (  -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.82% (  -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% (  -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.12% (  -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.9% (  -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.6% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
