

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 20.58% ( | 24.49% ( | 54.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% ( | 52.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% ( | 74.57% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% ( | 40.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.94% ( | 77.06% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.79% ( | 19.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.1% ( | 50.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-1 @ 1.58% ( 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 3-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.58% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.33% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 12.81% ( 0-2 @ 10.57% ( 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0-3 @ 5.82% ( 1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 54.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
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