LA Galaxy
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 29, 2025 at 3.15am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
San Jose Earthquakes

LA Galaxy
0 - 1
Earthquakes

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bouda (74', 74')
Kikanovic (69'), Kikanovic (69'), Costa (90+1'), Costa (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's MLS clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: San Diego 2-1 LA Galaxy
Saturday, May 24 at 9.45pm in MLS Playoffs

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-3 Houston
Sunday, May 25 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
50.31% (-3.369 -3.37)22.17% (0.666 0.67)27.52% (2.702 2.7)
Both teams to score 63.85% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.07% (-0.77800000000001 -0.78)35.92% (0.776 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.98% (-0.862 -0.86)58.01% (0.85899999999999 0.86)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39% (-1.345 -1.35)14.6% (1.344 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.29% (-2.652 -2.65)42.7% (2.65 2.65)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (1.495 1.49)25.23% (-1.497 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02% (2.018 2.02)59.97% (-2.019 -2.02)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 50.31%
    San Jose Earthquakes 27.52%
    Draw 22.17%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.415 -0.42)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.406 -0.41)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.499 -0.5)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.351 -0.35)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.358 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.148 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 50.31%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.314 0.31)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.169 0.17)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.141 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.489 0.49)
0-1 @ 5.07% (0.398 0.4)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.409 0.41)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.344 0.34)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.198 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.247 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.158 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 27.52%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles Galaxy
57.1%
Draw
23.8%
San Jose Earthquakes
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2024 3.30am
Group Stage
Earthquakes
1-2
LA Galaxy
Ebobisse (75')
Espinoza (56')
Fagundez (41'), Berry (89')
Nelson (60'), Yoshida (82'), Yamane (90+6')
> Preview
Jun 30, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-3
LA Galaxy

Rodrigues (45+3')
Paintsil (37'), Joveljic (72'), Cuevas (90+2')
Delgado (22'), Cerrillo (29'), Neal (39'), McCarthy (75')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2024 1.15am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Earthquakes
Pec (14'), Paintsil (24' pen.), Yoshida (30'), Puig (56')
Paintsil (7'), Vanney (8'), Puig (72')
Zavaleta (70')
Rodrigues (32'), Kikanovic (58'), Ebobisse (72' pen.)
Espinoza (45'), Gruezo (54'), Costa (65'), Skahan (76')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-3
LA Galaxy
Judd (69')
Akapo (35'), Judd (74')
Paintsil (18'), Joveljic (43'), Puig (48')
Delgado (29'), Brugman (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-3
LA Galaxy
Calegari (29' og.), Ebobisse (31')
Rodrigues (19'), Akapo (43'), Trauco (65'), Gruezo (75'), Marie (90+2')
Boyd (16'), Puig (50'), Joveljic (61' pen.)
Cerrillo (83'), Aude (90+9')
> Preview