Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.