Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.