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World Cup

Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK
Azadi Stadium, Tehran
United Arab Emirates national football team

Iran
vs.
UAE

Azmoun (47'), Mohebi (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
Last Game: North Korea 2-3 Iran
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Iran vs. Uzbekistan
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: UAE 1-1 Oman
Friday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Next Game: North Korea vs. UAE
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
IranDrawUnited Arab Emirates
63.68% (0.883 0.88)21.29% (-0.388 -0.39)15.03% (-0.497 -0.5)
Both teams to score 47.39% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (0.675 0.67)48.5% (-0.675 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (0.613 0.61)70.63% (-0.61399999999999 -0.61)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (0.501 0.5)14.57% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.37% (0.959 0.96)42.63% (-0.96 -0.96)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.47% (-0.277 -0.28)44.53% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.44% (-0.222 -0.22)80.56% (0.22200000000001 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Iran 63.67%
    United Arab Emirates 15.03%
    Draw 21.29%
IranDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 12.49% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 12.03% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.73% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.158 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 63.67%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.29%
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.12% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 15.03%

How you voted: Iran vs UAE

Iran
91.3%
Draw
6.5%
United Arab Emirates
2.2%
46
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