Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Bangladesh had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Bangladesh win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.