These two experienced sides have shown a lot of resilience so far in this competition, and realistically this match could go either way.
We will give the Panamanians the edge, however, because as a team, they have been a lot sharper going forward, and many of their regulars will be well-rested, which should come in handy the longer this match is deadlocked.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
