MX23RW : Wednesday, February 7 18:37:41| >> :120:29633:29633:
West Brom logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
The Hawthorns
Aldershot Town
West Brom
4 - 1
Aldershot
Chalobah (7'), Malcolm (15'), Dike (27'), Fellows (88')
Chalobah (39')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bray (90+5')
Harries (33'), Widdrington (35'), Widdrington (35')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between West Bromwich Albion and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 West Brom
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Woking 2-3 Aldershot
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-0 Aldershot Town

Aldershot have beaten two League Two sides in this season's competition, but the step-up in class here will be big, and we are expecting West Brom to have too much quality for their National League opponents in Sunday's third-round contest in the FA Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 12%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawAldershot Town
70.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 17.84% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 12% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.34% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.87% (0.013000000000005 0.01)40.13% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.5% (0.014000000000003 0.01)62.5% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)10.27% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)33.64% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.1% (0.087999999999994 0.09)43.9% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.96% (0.068999999999999 0.07)80.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 70.15%
    Aldershot Town 12%
    Draw 17.84%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawAldershot Town
2-0 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.29%
4-0 @ 5.04% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 70.15%
1-1 @ 8.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 17.84%
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.48% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 12%

How you voted: West Brom vs Aldershot

West Bromwich Albion
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Aldershot Town
14.3%
28
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City22154354252949
3Arsenal23154447222549
4Aston Villa23144549301946
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs23135549351444
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd2312293132-138
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2310673636036
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton239864238435
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle231031048371133
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves239593737032
11Chelsea2394103839-131
12Bournemouth227693041-1127
13Fulham2375113038-826
14Crystal Palace2366112640-1424
15Brentford2264123239-722
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2356122841-1321
17Luton TownLuton2255123242-1020
18Everton2385102630-419
19Burnley2334162447-2313
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2324171959-4010

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