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FA Cup
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Gillingham
Hereford
0 - 2
Gillingham

Livingstone (39'), Ceesay (45+2'), Babos (51'), Cameron (51'), Southern (86'), Teixeira (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke (23'), Nichols (88' pen.)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Hereford United and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Newport
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawGillingham
34.8%27.09%38.11%
Both teams to score 50.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21%54.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9%76.09%
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.11%29.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.01%65.99%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1%27.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49%63.51%
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 34.79%
    Gillingham 38.1%
    Draw 27.08%
Hereford UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.79%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.34%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.1%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2012 3pm
Gillingham
5-4
Hereford
Whelpdale (45'), Kedwell (46'), Tomlin (90'), Lee (81', 88')
Lee (78'), Kedwell (90'), Montrose (90')
Purdie (4' pen.)
Cornell (45')
Sep 17, 2011 3pm
Hereford
1-6
Gillingham
Winnall (87')
Purdie (33')
Heath (40' og.), Richards (24'), Jackman (49'), Whelpdale (79'), Nouble (19')
Fuller (12'), Frampton (61'), Lee (62')
Apr 2, 2011 3pm
Gillingham
0-0
Hereford
Richards (45'), Weston (77'), Rooney (82'), McDonald (90')
Leslie (32'), McQuilkin (38'), Stam (86')
Aug 14, 2010 3pm
Hereford
0-0
Gillingham
rhs 2.0
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